Here’s my 2016 presidential election theory: The screamers are coming out in droves for the nincompoop Donald Trump on the Republican side. On election day, those angry, hateful, uneducated voters (as the dumpster, uh, trumpster, himself said) will comprise a small percentage of the overall electorate.
A Democratic president will be inaugurated on Jan. 20, 2017.
My presidential election theory was the same in 2008 and 2012. So many of my like-minded friends were worried that Obama wouldn’t win. I tried to explain that very few voters participate in state primaries and caucuses.
Although U.S. voter turnout isn’t great in presidential elections either, millions — compared to thousands in primaries and caucuses — will vote for president (62.3 percent of eligible voters came out in 2008; 57.5 percent in 2012).
Let’s hope that quiet Americans, people who don’t care about politics, are too busy raising kids, working at two jobs, or are just too busy with life, will not cast their ballot for a racist, hateful, mean-spirited buffoon like Donald Trump. Period.
On the other hand, Rachel Maddow is worried, and she’s not just a TV talking head, she’s a real political scientist. It’s all about voter turnout.
Bernie Sanders supporters need to worry about unspectacularly high voter turnouts in the first few primaries. That’s what Bernie is banking on, getting out the vote, which hasn’t happened — except for the nasty Trump voters.
If Trump ever became president, would Maine be far enough on the fringe to get away from it all (first get rid of that awful Gov. LePage!)? Probably not.
So repeat after me…a smart, decent, caring, Democratic president will be inaugurated on Jan. 20, 2017. Our futures depend on it.